AAP's vote share erosion in Delhi?

Congress gains in Delhi elections often come at the expense of AAP, reflecting a  vote transfer. In the 2017 MCD polls, Congress improved its vote share to 21%, an 11-percentage-point rise from the 2015 assembly elections, weakening AAP’s position. Similarly, in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, AAP’s vote share dropped by 36%, with Congress and BJP gaining 13 and 25 points, respectively. This shift suggests AAP voters favored Arvind Kejriwal in assembly elections but leaned towards Narendra Modi or Rahul Gandhi in Lok Sabha polls. In the 2020 Delhi assembly elections, AAP dominated with 54% votes, while Congress and BJP saw significant declines. However, in the 2022 MCD elections, AAP’s vote share fell by 12% as Congress gained 8%, though AAP narrowly secured a majority.